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Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment

Urheber*innen

Aerts,  J. C. J. H.
External Organizations;

Botzen,  W. J.
External Organizations;

Clarke,  K. C.
External Organizations;

Cutter,  S. L.
External Organizations;

Hall,  J. W.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/bmerz

Merz,  B.
5.4 Hydrology, 5.0 Geoarchives, Departments, GFZ Publication Database, Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum;

Michel-Kerjan,  E.
External Organizations;

Mysiak,  J.
External Organizations;

Surminski,  S.
External Organizations;

Kunreuther,  H.
External Organizations;

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Zitation

Aerts, J. C. J. H., Botzen, W. J., Clarke, K. C., Cutter, S. L., Hall, J. W., Merz, B., Michel-Kerjan, E., Mysiak, J., Surminski, S., Kunreuther, H. (2018): Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment. - Nature Climate Change, 8, 3, 193-199.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0085-1


Zitierlink: https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_3052890
Zusammenfassung
The behaviour of individuals, businesses, and government entities before, during, and immediately after a disaster can dramatically affect the impact and recovery time. However, existing risk-assessment methods rarely include this critical factor. In this Perspective, we show why this is a concern, and demonstrate that although initial efforts have inevitably represented human behaviour in limited terms, innovations in flood-risk assessment that integrate societal behaviour and behavioural adaptation dynamics into such quantifications may lead to more accurate characterization of risks and improved assessment of the effectiveness of risk-management strategies and investments. Such multidisciplinary approaches can inform flood-risk management policy development.