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  Hybrid modelling with deep learning for improved sea-ice forecasting

Finn, T., Durand, C., Farchi, A., Bocquet, M., Chen, Y., Carassi, A., Dansereau, V., Ólason, E. (2023): Hybrid modelling with deep learning for improved sea-ice forecasting, XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) (Berlin 2023).
https://doi.org/10.57757/IUGG23-3328

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 Creators:
Finn, Tobias1, Author
Durand, Charlotte1, Author
Farchi, Alban1, Author
Bocquet, Marc1, Author
Chen, Yumeng1, Author
Carassi, Alberto1, Author
Dansereau, Veronique1, Author
Ólason, Einar1, Author
Affiliations:
1IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations, ou_5011304              

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 Abstract: We present our vision on how to advance short-term sea-ice forecasting with deep learning, based on two specific examples. To incorporate multifractal, anisotropic, and stochastic-like processes in sea ice, we envision the combination of geophysical sea-ice models together with neural networks in a hybrid modelling setup. On the one hand, deep learning can surrogate computationally expensive sea-ice models, like neXtSIM. This not only allows us to speed-up simulations by orders of magnitude, but also to improve forecasts of sea-ice thickness by up to 35 % compared to persistence on a daily timescale. On the other hand, deep learning can parametrize subgrid-scale processes in sea-ice models and correct persisting model errors, improving the forecasts by up to 70 % across all model variables on an hourly timescale. Based on these results, we conclude that hybrid modelling with deep learning can lead to major advancements in sea-ice forecasting.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 20232023
 Publication Status: Finally published
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 Identifiers: DOI: 10.57757/IUGG23-3328
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Title: XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
Place of Event: Berlin
Start-/End Date: 2023-07-11 - 2023-07-20

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Title: XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
Source Genre: Proceedings
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Publ. Info: Potsdam : GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences
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