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  The behavioral turn in flood risk management, its assumptions and potential implications

Kuhlicke, C., Seebauer, S., Hudson, P., Begg, C., Bubeck, P., Dittmer, C., Grothmann, T., Heidenreich, A., Kreibich, H., Lorenz, D. F., Masson, T., Reiter, J., Thaler, T., Thieken, A. H., Bamberg, S. (2020): The behavioral turn in flood risk management, its assumptions and potential implications. - WIREs Water, 7, 3.
https://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1418

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Kuhlicke, Christian1, Author
Seebauer, Sebastian1, Author
Hudson, Paul1, Author
Begg, Chloe1, Author
Bubeck, Philip1, Author
Dittmer, Cordula1, Author
Grothmann, Torsten1, Author
Heidenreich, Anna1, Author
Kreibich, H.2, Author              
Lorenz, Daniel F.1, Author
Masson, Torsten1, Author
Reiter, Jessica1, Author
Thaler, Thomas1, Author
Thieken, Annegret H.1, Author
Bamberg, Sebastian1, Author
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
24.4 Hydrology, 4.0 Geosystems, Departments, GFZ Publication Database, Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum, ou_146048              

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 Abstract: Sections PDFPDF Tools Share Abstract Recent policy changes highlight the need for citizens to take adaptive actions to reduce flood‐related impacts. Here, we argue that these changes represent a wider behavioral turn in flood risk management (FRM). The behavioral turn is based on three fundamental assumptions: first, that the motivations of citizens to take adaptive actions can be well understood so that these motivations can be targeted in the practice of FRM; second, that private adaptive measures and actions are effective in reducing flood risk; and third, that individuals have the capacities to implement such measures. We assess the extent to which the assumptions can be supported by empirical evidence. We do this by engaging with three intellectual catchments. We turn to research by psychologists and other behavioral scientists which focus on the sociopsychological factors which influence individual motivations (Assumption 1). We engage with economists, engineers, and quantitative risk analysts who explore the extent to which individuals can reduce flood related impacts by quantifying the effectiveness and efficiency of household‐level adaptive measures (Assumption 2). We converse with human geographers and sociologists who explore the types of capacities households require to adapt to and cope with threatening events (Assumption 3). We believe that an investigation of the behavioral turn is important because if the outlined assumptions do not hold, there is a risk of creating and strengthening inequalities in FRM. Therefore, we outline the current intellectual and empirical knowledge as well as future research needs. Generally, we argue that more collaboration across intellectual catchments is needed, that future research should be more theoretically grounded and become methodologically more rigorous and at the same time focus more explicitly on the normative underpinnings of the behavioral turn.

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 Dates: 2020-03-092020
 Publication Status: Finally published
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 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1002/wat2.1418
GFZPOF: p3 PT4 Natural Hazards
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Title: WIREs Water
Source Genre: Journal, other
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 7 (3) Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/20200420
Publisher: Wiley