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Abstract:
On February 6, 2023, a sequence of earthquakes with Mw 7.8 and Mw 7.5 occurred in southern central Turkey near the northern border of Syria about in 9 hours. The disastrous earthquake sequence and its other aftershocks caused heavy human casualties and devastating building collapses. We employ the Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis to capture coherent spatiotemporal features of co-seismic deformation for three components (N, E, U), which is based on the time series of 1-Hz GPS solutions at 20 permanent stations spatially well-distributed around the ruptured Anatolian fault system. The solved EOF modes show patterns which would help to investigate co-seismic rupture of the seismogenic faults. We compare the EOF-derived co-seismic displacement to the modeling results, which is computed from the spherical, elastic dislocation theory and finite fault model inverted from teleseismic waves records. Both GPS-observed and the modeled displacements show high consistency except for that at station EKZ1 (Ekinözü) where ~4.7 m of westward motion was estimated from GPS which we believe does not entirely represent the crustal motion; some other phenomena such as a local co-seismic landslide or a relative motion of the pillar with respect to the ground might have occurred. Moreover, this sequence is a large typical strike-slip faulting, which can generate gravity change above the threshold proposed by some theoretical simulation based on the satellite gravimetry observations. We also compute forward-modeled coseismic gravity changes, and discuss the plausible detection by instrument onboard of GRACE Follow-On gravimetry mission.
