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  Cascade and pre-slip models oversimplify the complexity of earthquake preparation in nature

Martinez Garzon, P., Poli, P. (2024): Cascade and pre-slip models oversimplify the complexity of earthquake preparation in nature. - Communications Earth and Environment, 5, 120.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01285-y

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Martinez Garzon, P.1, 2, Autor              
Poli , P.2, 3, Autor
Affiliations:
14.2 Geomechanics and Scientific Drilling, 4.0 Geosystems, Departments, GFZ Publication Database, Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum, ou_146035              
2GONAF, Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum, ou_5026870              
3External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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 Zusammenfassung: Earthquake precursory processes have been central to scientific inquiry for nearly a century. Recent advancements in earthquake monitoring, geodesy, and data analysis including artificial intelligence, have substantially improved our understanding of how earthquake sequences unfold leading to the mainshock. We examine the available seismological and geodetic evidence describing preparatory processes in 33 earthquake sequences with MW [3.2–9.0] across different tectonic and stress conditions. Our analysis reveals common patterns, and sheds light on the interplay of structural, tectonic and other boundary conditions that influence the dynamics of earthquake sequences, and hence, in the seismo-geodetic observables prior to the mainshock. We place particular emphasis on connecting observed phenomena to the underlying physical processes driving the sequences. From our findings, we propose a conceptual framework viewing earthquake preparation as a process involving several juxtaposed driving physical mechanisms on different temporal and spatial scales, jointly leading to the stress increase in the future epicenter.

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 Datum: 20242024
 Publikationsstatus: Final veröffentlicht
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 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01285-y
OATYPE: Gold - DEAL Springer Nature
GFZPOF: p4 T3 Restless Earth
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Titel: Communications Earth and Environment
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, SCI, Scopus, oa
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Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
Seiten: - Band / Heft: 5 Artikelnummer: 120 Start- / Endseite: - Identifikator: ISSN: 2662-4435
CoNE: https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/202009111
Publisher: Springer Nature