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Land cover, urban sprawl, landscape metrics, MODIS land surface temperature (LST), 20 years’ time series
Abstract:
The purpose of the presented study is to evaluate the comprehensive impact of different land cover types on the temperature development in the entire Shandong Province by a 20-year-long (MODIS) LST time series from 2003 to 2022. To find out the primary influencing factors, methods such as the Pearson correlation, stepwise analysis, and best-subset selection were applied. The results revealed that the average temperatures had been rising in summer during day- and night-time by 2.32 °C and 1.22 °C, respectively and in winter during day- and night-time by 3.25 °C and 1.33 °C, whereby a significant contribution can be attributed to the period 2014-2022. Substantial variations in LSTs emerge between built-up and vegetated areas and landlocked and coastal regions. Moreover, we could identify a contribution of 0.089 °C, caused merely by the extension of built-up areas of 1.65% in the entire Shandong Province. Modeling the combined effects of further relevant variables/factors, the percentage of cropland area (crop-per) and the number of landscape patches (NPl) indicate considerable influence on the daytime temperature in the temporal domain.
