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Book Chapter

European Seismic Risk Model – Insights and Emerging Research Topics


Crowley,  Helen
External Organizations;

Dabbeek,  Jamal
External Organizations;

Despotaki,  Venetia
External Organizations;

Rodrigues,  Daniela
External Organizations;

Martins,  Luis
External Organizations;

Silva,  Vitor
External Organizations;

Romão,  Xavier
External Organizations;

Pereira,  Nuno
External Organizations;


Weatherill,  Graeme
2.6 Seismic Hazard and Risk Dynamics, 2.0 Geophysics, Departments, GFZ Publication Database, Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum;

Danciu,  Laurentiu
External Organizations;

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Crowley, H., Dabbeek, J., Despotaki, V., Rodrigues, D., Martins, L., Silva, V., Romão, X., Pereira, N., Weatherill, G., Danciu, L. (2022): European Seismic Risk Model – Insights and Emerging Research Topics. - In: Vacareanu, R., Ionescu, C. (Eds.), Progresses in European Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, (Springer Proceedings in Earth and Environmental Sciences), Cham : Springer International Publishing, 161-178.

Cite as: https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_5015104
A new European Seismic Risk Model (ESRM20) was recently released to the scientific community (http://risk.efehr.org). This model combines the European Seismic Hazard Model (ESHM20), a regional model of site response based on proxy data (topography and geology), an exposure model describing the distribution of building classes for 44 countries, and vulnerability models for over 200 building classes, in order to estimate key seismic risk metrics at the European scale, including average annual losses and return period economic losses and loss of life. This Chapter explores some of the insights from this model, including the regions of highest risk in Europe, the building classes contributing most to the losses, and the potential impact of retrofitting those building classes. All of the models, as well as the underlying datasets, workflows and software have been openly released, thus allowing reproducibility of the results, but also providing a set of resources that can be used to kick-start additional research. Examples of how these resources can be used by researchers will be given herein, as well as new research topics emerging from the models.