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New insights from the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP)

Authors

Werner,  Maximilian
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

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Citation

Werner, M. (2023): New insights from the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP), XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) (Berlin 2023).
https://doi.org/10.57757/IUGG23-4872


Cite as: https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_5021274
Abstract
The global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP, https://cseptesting.org) advances rigorous research into earthquake forecasting through open science practices. These include, foremost, a dedication to testing forecasts in a truly prospective manner, along with strict standards for reproducibility, community-endorsed model evaluation approaches, and open-source software. Now operating for over 15 years, CSEP recently re-invented itself with a modern community-developed open-source Python software toolkit (pyCSEP), a broader range of model classes and evaluations, and better open access to models, data and test results through reproducibility packages. This reinvention facilitated a surge in new research, driven largely by a global and engaged early career researcher community. In this overview talk, I will review the progress and new insights this has generated.