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  An abrupt transition in Antarctic sea ice–ocean system

Haumann, F. A., Massonnet, F., Holland, P. R., Bushuk, M., Maksym, T., Hobbs, W., Meredith, M. P., Cerovečki, I., Lavergne, T., Meier, W. N., Raphael, M., Stammerjohn, S. (2023): An abrupt transition in Antarctic sea ice–ocean system, XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) (Berlin 2023).
https://doi.org/10.57757/IUGG23-2940

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 Creators:
Haumann, F. Alexander1, Author
Massonnet, François1, Author
Holland, Paul R.1, Author
Bushuk, Mitchell1, Author
Maksym, Ted1, Author
Hobbs, Will1, Author
Meredith, Michael P.1, Author
Cerovečki, Ivana1, Author
Lavergne, Thomas1, Author
Meier, Walter N.1, Author
Raphael, Marilyn1, Author
Stammerjohn, Sharon1, Author
Affiliations:
1IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations, ou_5011304              

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 Abstract: Over the past decade, Antarctic sea ice extent exhibited a sequence of record maxima, followed by a rapid decline in 2015/16, and record minima since. In this presentation, we show that this sudden and remarkable ice loss marks an abrupt transition from a high to a low ice state that cannot be explained by year-to-year variability. Instead, it is most likely associated with a longer term variability arising from ice–ocean feedbacks. The abrupt transition was preceded by an increase in persistence and variance of the sea ice anomalies, an increasing upper Southern Ocean density stratification, and an accumulation of heat at the subsurface; suggesting a decoupling of the surface from the subsurface ocean. During this period, the sea ice anomalies shifted from being structured predominantly regionally and seasonally to a largely circumpolar and interannual regime. In 2015/16, the upper ocean density stratification in the ice-covered region suddenly weakened, leading to a release of the heat from the subsurface, contributing to the sea ice decline during winter. Our analysis suggests that the sudden sea ice loss in 2015/16, and the persisting low ice conditions since, arose from a systematic change in the physical state of the coupled circumpolar ice–ocean system. This change will have wide implications for global climate, ecosystems, and the Antarctic Ice Sheet.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2023
 Publication Status: Finally published
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 Identifiers: DOI: 10.57757/IUGG23-2940
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Title: XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
Place of Event: Berlin
Start-/End Date: 2023-07-11 - 2023-07-20

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Title: XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
Source Genre: Proceedings
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Publ. Info: Potsdam : GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences
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