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  Explaining and Predicting Earth System Change - the need for whole atmosphere observation and operational attribution

Osprey, S., Behrens, E., Brookshaw, A., Findell, K., Heimbach, P., Kushner, P., Risbey, J., Smith, D., Steiner, A., Sutton, R., Wang, Z. (2023): Explaining and Predicting Earth System Change - the need for whole atmosphere observation and operational attribution, XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) (Berlin 2023).
https://doi.org/10.57757/IUGG23-3682

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 Urheber:
Osprey, Scott1, Autor
Behrens, Erik1, Autor
Brookshaw, Anca1, Autor
Findell, Kirsten1, Autor
Heimbach, Patrick1, Autor
Kushner, Paul1, Autor
Risbey, James1, Autor
Smith, Doug1, Autor
Steiner, Andrea1, Autor
Sutton, Rowan1, Autor
Wang, Zhuo1, Autor
Affiliations:
1IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations, ou_5011304              

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Schlagwörter: -
 Zusammenfassung: Recent annual assessments of present-day and future climate variability provided by the World Meteorological Organization have motivated the need for the attribution of environmental change, separating climate forcing agents from large-scale natural climate variability. To address this need operational forecasting systems are essential together with sustained, comprehensive and relevant observations for assessing current climate and climate forcers. The World Climate Research Programme Light House Activity – Explaining and Predicting Earth System Change (EPESC) – will cast a new light on the proximal drivers of regional climate variation on annual-to-decadal (A2D) timescales. The EPESC is focused on three distinct yet interrelated themes: The monitoring and modelling of Earth system change; the integrated attribution, prediction and projection of A2D changes including the potential for extremes; and the assessment of current and future hazards. In this presentation we will outline the current and future requirements of A2D prediction and projection, including the requisite infrastructure of operational attribution and the need for comprehensive whole-atmosphere observations, such as those which will be provided by the proposed Changing-Atmosphere Infra-Red Tomography Explorer (CAIRT), recently selected by the European Space Agency (ESA) as one of four candidates for the Earth Explorer 11 mission.

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Sprache(n): eng - Englisch
 Datum: 2023-07-112023-07-11
 Publikationsstatus: Final veröffentlicht
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 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
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 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.57757/IUGG23-3682
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Veranstaltung

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Titel: XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
Veranstaltungsort: Berlin
Start-/Enddatum: 2023-07-11 - 2023-07-20

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Titel: XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
Genre der Quelle: Konferenzband
 Urheber:
Affiliations:
Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: Potsdam : GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences
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