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  Explaining and Predicting Earth System Change - the need for whole atmosphere observation and operational attribution

Osprey, S., Behrens, E., Brookshaw, A., Findell, K., Heimbach, P., Kushner, P., Risbey, J., Smith, D., Steiner, A., Sutton, R., Wang, Z. (2023): Explaining and Predicting Earth System Change - the need for whole atmosphere observation and operational attribution, XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) (Berlin 2023).
https://doi.org/10.57757/IUGG23-3682

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Item Permalink: https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_5020860 Version Permalink: https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_5020860_1
Genre: Conference Paper

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 Creators:
Osprey, Scott1, Author
Behrens, Erik1, Author
Brookshaw, Anca1, Author
Findell, Kirsten1, Author
Heimbach, Patrick1, Author
Kushner, Paul1, Author
Risbey, James1, Author
Smith, Doug1, Author
Steiner, Andrea1, Author
Sutton, Rowan1, Author
Wang, Zhuo1, Author
Affiliations:
1IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations, ou_5011304              

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 Abstract: Recent annual assessments of present-day and future climate variability provided by the World Meteorological Organization have motivated the need for the attribution of environmental change, separating climate forcing agents from large-scale natural climate variability. To address this need operational forecasting systems are essential together with sustained, comprehensive and relevant observations for assessing current climate and climate forcers. The World Climate Research Programme Light House Activity – Explaining and Predicting Earth System Change (EPESC) – will cast a new light on the proximal drivers of regional climate variation on annual-to-decadal (A2D) timescales. The EPESC is focused on three distinct yet interrelated themes: The monitoring and modelling of Earth system change; the integrated attribution, prediction and projection of A2D changes including the potential for extremes; and the assessment of current and future hazards. In this presentation we will outline the current and future requirements of A2D prediction and projection, including the requisite infrastructure of operational attribution and the need for comprehensive whole-atmosphere observations, such as those which will be provided by the proposed Changing-Atmosphere Infra-Red Tomography Explorer (CAIRT), recently selected by the European Space Agency (ESA) as one of four candidates for the Earth Explorer 11 mission.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2023-07-112023-07-11
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: -
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: -
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.57757/IUGG23-3682
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Title: XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
Place of Event: Berlin
Start-/End Date: 2023-07-11 - 2023-07-20

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Title: XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
Source Genre: Proceedings
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Publ. Info: Potsdam : GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences
Pages: - Volume / Issue: - Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: - Identifier: -