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The extratropical pacemaker effect on Pacific Walker circulation variability

Authors

Kosaka,  Yu
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Toda,  Masaki
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Miyamoto,  Ayumu
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Watanabe,  Masahiro
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

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Citation

Kosaka, Y., Toda, M., Miyamoto, A., Watanabe, M. (2023): The extratropical pacemaker effect on Pacific Walker circulation variability, XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) (Berlin 2023).
https://doi.org/10.57757/IUGG23-2149


Cite as: https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_5018677
Abstract
The Pacific Walker circulation variability is associated with El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation and affects the global climate. The Walker circulation has strengthened since the comprehensive satellite observations began. This trend apparently contradicts with climate model simulations driven by historical radiative forcing, which show its weakening. Regarding this model-observation inconsistency, recent studies argue the influence of biases in the South Pacific and Southern Ocean. In the present study, we examine the remote influence of extratropical SST variability on the Pacific Walker circulation by extratropical ocean pacemaker experiments with a climate model. Restoring SST variability toward observations poleward of 15º latitudes in the Pacific (with a linearly tapering buffer zone between 10º and 15º) greatly constrains the Walker circulation variability in the interannual to multidecadal time scales. This extratropical pacemaker effect remains, albeit weaker, if the restoring region is limited to poleward of 25º latitudes. These results suggest the importance of subtropical and midlatitude SST variability in attributing, predicting, and projecting the Walker circulation changes.