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Conference Paper

The State and Fate of Glaciers in High Mountain Asia

Authors

Bolch,  Tobias
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

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Citation

Bolch, T. (2023): The State and Fate of Glaciers in High Mountain Asia, XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) (Berlin 2023).
https://doi.org/10.57757/IUGG23-3884


Cite as: https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_5020662
Abstract
Knowledge about glaciers and their past and future response to climate change in High Mountain Asia (HMA) is important because they provide reliable discharge to the mountain rivers and impact glacial hazards. Receding glaciers may endanger water supply and proglacial lakes to develop which are a threat to downstream areas. In this talk I will provide first an overview of the current knowledge about the heterogenous glacier changes since the 1960s and 1970s across HMA and their climatic and topographic drivers. Special emphasis will be hereby given on the influence of debris-cover, pro-glacial lakes and glacier surges on glacier mass balance and the Karakoram Anomaly.In the second part I will focus on future projections of glacier changes and its impact on runoff and glacial hazards. This part will include also societal aspects of the anticipated changes. Finally, I will hypothesise to which extend hidden ice sources stored in ice-rich permafrost and rock glaciers could counterbalance the expected runoff decrease in most regions.