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  A workflow for rapid time-dependent estimates of earthquake-induced mass-movement likelihood and associated impacts in Switzerland

Cauzzi, C., Knupfer, J.-A., Wiemer, S., Danciu, L., Papadopoulos, A., Kästli, P. (2023): A workflow for rapid time-dependent estimates of earthquake-induced mass-movement likelihood and associated impacts in Switzerland, XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) (Berlin 2023).
https://doi.org/10.57757/IUGG23-4930

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 Creators:
Cauzzi, Carlo1, Author
Knupfer, Jann-Andrea1, Author
Wiemer, Stefan1, Author
Danciu, Laurentiu1, Author
Papadopoulos, Athanasios1, Author
Kästli, Philipp1, Author
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1IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations, ou_5011304              

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 Abstract: Earthquake-induced mass movements are a substantial threat to mountainous areas in seismically active regions like the Valais, the most seismically hazardous region of Switzerland. We present a strategy to deliver rapid time-dependent predictions of mass-movement likelihoods in the Valais and their impacts on lifelines in near real-time during major earthquake sequences. We rely on the Swiss Seismic Hazard and ShakeMap frameworks and on the availability of a Swiss-specific empirical model for the prediction of seismically induced mass-movement likelihoods, and combine them with rapid earthquake shaking estimates based on short-term seismicity forecasts following a triggering seismic event. The obtained probabilities of mass-movement are spatially associated with exposed assets in the region to estimate the associated risk. This procedure can provide stakeholders with alarm levels and other decision-making tools based on risk-cost-benefit considerations for critical lifelines.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2023-07-112023-07-11
 Publication Status: Finally published
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 Identifiers: DOI: 10.57757/IUGG23-4930
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Title: XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
Place of Event: Berlin
Start-/End Date: 2023-07-11 - 2023-07-20

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Title: XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
Source Genre: Proceedings
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Publ. Info: Potsdam : GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences
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