Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard and Risk Analysis: A Review of Research Gaps

Behrens, Jörn; Løvholt, Finn; Jalayer, Fatemeh; Lorito, Stefano; Salgado-Gálvez, Mario A.; Sørensen, Mathilde; Abadie, Stephane; Aguirre-Ayerbe, Ignacio; Aniel-Quiroga, Iñigo; Babeyko, A. Y.; Baiguera, Marco; Basili, Roberto; Belliazzi, Stefano; Grezio, Anita; Johnson, Kendra; Murphy, Shane; Paris, Raphaël; Rafliana, Irina; De Risi, Raffaele; Rossetto, Tiziana; Selva, Jacopo; Taroni, Matteo; Del Zoppo, Marta; Armigliato, Alberto; Bureš, Vladimír; Cech, Pavel; Cecioni, Claudia; Christodoulides, Paul; Davies, Gareth; Dias, Frédéric; Bayraktar, Hafize Başak; González, Mauricio; Gritsevich, Maria; Guillas, Serge; Harbitz, Carl Bonnevie; Kânoǧlu, Utku; Macías, Jorge; Papadopoulos, Gerassimos A.; Polet, Jascha; Romano, Fabrizio; Salamon, Amos; Scala, Antonio; Stepinac, Mislav; Tappin, David R.; Thio, Hong Kie; Tonini, Roberto; Triantafyllou, Ioanna; Ulrich, Thomas; Varini, Elisa; Volpe, Manuela; Vyhmeister, Eduardo

doi:10.3389/feart.2021.628772

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Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard and Risk Analysis: A Review of Research Gaps

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Behrens, Jörn
External Organizations;

Løvholt, Finn
External Organizations;

Jalayer, Fatemeh
External Organizations;

Lorito, Stefano
External Organizations;

Salgado-Gálvez, Mario A.
External Organizations;

Sørensen, Mathilde
External Organizations;

Abadie, Stephane
External Organizations;

Aguirre-Ayerbe, Ignacio
External Organizations;

Aniel-Quiroga, Iñigo
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/babeyko

Babeyko, A. Y.
2.5 Geodynamic Modelling, 2.0 Geophysics, Departments, GFZ Publication Database, Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum;

Baiguera, Marco
External Organizations;

Basili, Roberto
External Organizations;

Belliazzi, Stefano
External Organizations;

Grezio, Anita
External Organizations;

Johnson, Kendra
External Organizations;

Murphy, Shane
External Organizations;

Paris, Raphaël
External Organizations;

Rafliana, Irina
External Organizations;

De Risi, Raffaele
External Organizations;

Rossetto, Tiziana
External Organizations;

Selva, Jacopo
External Organizations;

Taroni, Matteo
External Organizations;

Del Zoppo, Marta
External Organizations;

Armigliato, Alberto
External Organizations;

Bureš, Vladimír
External Organizations;

Cech, Pavel
External Organizations;

Cecioni, Claudia
External Organizations;

Christodoulides, Paul
External Organizations;

Davies, Gareth
External Organizations;

Dias, Frédéric
External Organizations;

Bayraktar, Hafize Başak
External Organizations;

González, Mauricio
External Organizations;

Gritsevich, Maria
External Organizations;

Guillas, Serge
External Organizations;

Harbitz, Carl Bonnevie
External Organizations;

Kânoǧlu, Utku
External Organizations;

Macías, Jorge
External Organizations;

Papadopoulos, Gerassimos A.
External Organizations;

Polet, Jascha
External Organizations;

Romano, Fabrizio
External Organizations;

Salamon, Amos
External Organizations;

Scala, Antonio
External Organizations;

Stepinac, Mislav
External Organizations;

Tappin, David R.
External Organizations;

Thio, Hong Kie
External Organizations;

Tonini, Roberto
External Organizations;

Triantafyllou, Ioanna
External Organizations;

Ulrich, Thomas
External Organizations;

Varini, Elisa
External Organizations;

Volpe, Manuela
External Organizations;

Vyhmeister, Eduardo
External Organizations;

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Zitation

Behrens, J., Løvholt, F., Jalayer, F., Lorito, S., Salgado-Gálvez, M. A., Sørensen, M., Abadie, S., Aguirre-Ayerbe, I., Aniel-Quiroga, I., Babeyko, A. Y., Baiguera, M., Basili, R., Belliazzi, S., Grezio, A., Johnson, K., Murphy, S., Paris, R., Rafliana, I., De Risi, R., Rossetto, T., Selva, J., Taroni, M., Del Zoppo, M., Armigliato, A., Bureš, V., Cech, P., Cecioni, C., Christodoulides, P., Davies, G., Dias, F., Bayraktar, H. B., González, M., Gritsevich, M., Guillas, S., Harbitz, C. B., Kânoǧlu, U., Macías, J., Papadopoulos, G. A., Polet, J., Romano, F., Salamon, A., Scala, A., Stepinac, M., Tappin, D. R., Thio, H. K., Tonini, R., Triantafyllou, I., Ulrich, T., Varini, E., Volpe, M., Vyhmeister, E. (2021): Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard and Risk Analysis: A Review of Research Gaps. - Frontiers in Earth Science, 9, 628772.
https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.628772

Zitierlink: https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_5007372

Zusammenfassung

Tsunamis are unpredictable and infrequent but potentially large impact natural disasters. To prepare, mitigate and prevent losses from tsunamis, probabilistic hazard and risk analysis methods have been developed and have proved useful. However, large gaps and uncertainties still exist and many steps in the assessment methods lack information, theoretical foundation, or commonly accepted methods. Moreover, applied methods have very different levels of maturity, from already advanced probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis for earthquake sources, to less mature probabilistic risk analysis. In this review we give an overview of the current state of probabilistic tsunami hazard and risk analysis. Identifying research gaps, we offer suggestions for future research directions. An extensive literature list allows for branching into diverse aspects of this scientific approach.