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Konferenzbeitrag

Accelerating global science in probabilistic hazard and risk analysis

Urheber*innen

Behrens,  Jörn
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Guillas,  Serge
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Lorito,  Stefano
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Løvholt,  Finn
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Murphy,  Shane
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Macías,  Jorge
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Özer Sözdinler,  Ceren
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Rafliana,  Irina
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Rödder,  Simone
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Salmanidou,  Dimitra
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Selva,  Jacopo
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Sørensen,  Mathilde
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

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Zitation

Behrens, J., Guillas, S., Lorito, S., Løvholt, F., Murphy, S., Macías, J., Özer Sözdinler, C., Rafliana, I., Rödder, S., Salmanidou, D., Selva, J., Sørensen, M. (2023): Accelerating global science in probabilistic hazard and risk analysis, XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) (Berlin 2023).
https://doi.org/10.57757/IUGG23-3258


Zitierlink: https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_5019794
Zusammenfassung
Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard and Risk Analysis (PTHA/PTRA) has its roots in the corresponding probabilistic approaches in the seismic sciences. However, there are several substantial differences in the cascading source and effect modeling chain, necessitating for complex workflows, involving still larger gaps in data and knowledge, and requiring different approaches in dealing with uncertainties. The European Cooperation in Science and Technology (COST) Action AGITHAR (Accelerating Global Science in Probabilistic Hazard and Risk Analysis) has run for four years and has since then gathered parts of the scientific community around PTHA/PTRA and made some substantial progress in communicating and unifying the underlying concepts. Additionally, the effort has allowed the European tsunami community to coordinate a number of new research efforts and infrastrucutral developments, which are of benefit for the global science in PTHA/PTRA. In this presentation we will outline the results of AGITHAR's major deliverables, a compilation of research gaps in PTHA/PTRA and uncertainty communication, findings in interdisciplinary tsunami research cooperation, and a collection of current practices in PTHA/PTRA. Ideas and opportunities of sustaining AGITHAR's output into the future will be given.