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How important are secondary ice processes – preliminary results from FOR-ICE

Authors

Ickes,  Luisa
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Surós,  Montserrat Costa
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Eriksson,  Patrick
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Frostenberg,  Hannah
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Georgakaki,  Paraskevi
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Gonçalves Ageitos,  Maria
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Lewinschal,  Anna
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

May,  Eleanor
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Nenes,  Athanasios
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Neubauer,  David
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Pérez García-Pando,  Carlos
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Proske,  Ulrike
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

Sotiropoulou,  Georgia
IUGG 2023, General Assemblies, 1 General, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), External Organizations;

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Citation

Ickes, L., Surós, M. C., Eriksson, P., Frostenberg, H., Georgakaki, P., Gonçalves Ageitos, M., Lewinschal, A., May, E., Nenes, A., Neubauer, D., Pérez García-Pando, C., Proske, U., Sotiropoulou, G. (2023): How important are secondary ice processes – preliminary results from FOR-ICE, XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) (Berlin 2023).
https://doi.org/10.57757/IUGG23-3207


Cite as: https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_5020411
Abstract
Global climate models poorly represent mixed-phase clouds in a realistic way, which leads to uncertainties in cloud radiative forcing and precipitation. In the FORCeS ice experiment (FOR-ICE) we compare three global climate models (ECHAM-HAM, NorESM, EC-Earth) and show which processes are crucial for a realistic representation of cloud ice and supercooled water in each global climate model framework using the factorial method as a statistical approach. A specific focus of the experiments is on secondary ice production (SIP) - which apart from one mechanism (rime splintering) is not represented in models, even if observations of ice crystal concentrations of ice crystal number in warm mixed-phase clouds often exceed available ice nuclei by orders of magnitude. We evaluate the importance of three SIP mechanisms combined (rime splintering, ice-ice collisions, and droplet shattering) compared to all other processes that can modulate ice mass and number in mixed-phase clouds: ice nucleation, sedimentation, and transport of ice crystals, and the Wegener-Bergeron-Findeisen process. To describe SIP we adopt two approaches: an explicit microphysical representation of the processes, and a parameterization based on a random forest regression of high-resolution two-year simulations in the Arctic using the polar Weather Research and Forecast model (polar-WRF). Satellite observations are used to evaluate if including descriptions of SIP leads to a more realistic representation of mixed-phase clouds.